Oatmeal Healthoatmealhealth.com · public-data estimate, October 2026

AdventHealth

Lung screening gap across 31 counties in Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, North Carolina, Texas and Wisconsin

600,000to1.2Madults in its service area qualify for lung cancer screening and are not being screened

About 12,300 people here are diagnosed with lung cancer each year, and 63% are found at a late stage, when it is hardest to treat.

Explore the screening network
FL
31 counties41 acute care hospitalsService areaShowing the Florida region; all regions are mapped below.
720,000 to 1.4Madults likely qualify under USPSTF 2021 criteria (estimate)
6,900lung cancer deaths a year in these counties, 2020 to 2024
17.7%of eligible adults screened in these states, vs 18.2% nationally

Estimates from public data only; no patient information. Sources and method below.

Where the eligible adults live

The counties where most of AdventHealth's Medicare inpatients live. Darker areas hold more adults who likely qualify, which is where outreach would start. Hover or tap any area for its estimate.

Florida

Illinois

Colorado

Kansas

Texas

Georgia, Kentucky and North Carolina

Plus 1 smaller areas listed in the table.

Adults likely eligible, per county

0+2,300+11,800+23,400+38,000+51,000+72,700+

Acute care hospital in this system

Counties in the service area

CountyStateAdults likely eligibleLung cancer deaths per 100kMedicare screens billed locally, 2024
Cook CountyIllinois177,400 to 380,40026.98,348
Hillsborough CountyFlorida57,900 to 122,50028.31,024
Orange CountyFlorida52,000 to 105,20024.61,512
Pinellas CountyFlorida49,700 to 101,80032.41,318
DuPage CountyIllinois29,700 to 72,70023.31,418
Polk CountyFlorida40,900 to 63,30034.6688
Volusia CountyFlorida33,900 to 56,30036.8866
Pasco CountyFlorida33,000 to 52,90036.4242
Will CountyIllinois27,000 to 51,00033.4553
Johnson CountyKansas19,500 to 47,10023.21,220
Denver CountyColorado18,200 to 46,60020.7333
Arapahoe CountyColorado20,300 to 46,00019.41,412
Seminole CountyFlorida17,100 to 40,20026.670
Marion CountyFlorida27,000 to 38,00040.1392
Lake CountyFlorida22,400 to 36,40031.6113
Osceola CountyFlorida16,600 to 31,20026.9158
Douglas CountyColorado10,000 to 24,60013.698
Boulder CountyColorado9,300 to 23,40015.3127
Bell CountyTexas13,900 to 22,40034.722
Johnson CountyTexas9,200 to 13,80036.6None billed locally
Flagler CountyFlorida8,100 to 12,90033.4128
Henderson CountyNorth Carolina6,400 to 12,60030.9None billed locally
Highlands CountyFlorida7,000 to 11,80034.935
Floyd CountyGeorgia5,300 to 8,10041.91,350
Gordon CountyGeorgia3,500 to 4,80048.3None billed locally
Murray CountyGeorgia2,400 to 3,50055.6None billed locally
Hardee CountyFlorida1,400 to 2,30035.1None billed locally
Franklin CountyKansas1,500 to 2,20045.2None billed locally
Clay CountyKentucky1,800 to 2,10082.7None billed locally
Lampasas CountyTexas1,300 to 2,00034.0None billed locally
Pepin CountyWisconsin440 to 72024.9None billed locally

9 of the 31 counties had no Medicare lung screening reads billed from a local address in 2024. County names link to their Missing Millions page.

What closing the gap would mean

If screening in these counties rose from 17.7% to 22.7%, five points above today, about 36,200 to 71,900 more people would be screened each year.

In the National Lung Screening Trial, low-dose CT screening lowered lung cancer deaths by 20% compared with chest X-ray. Today about 63% of lung cancers here are found at a late stage.

Illustrative estimate: eligible adults (range) times the change in screening rate. Not a forecast or a guarantee.

Each year in these counties

12,300new lung cancers
7,800found at a late stage
6,900lung cancer deaths

NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles, annual averages.

Screening at AdventHealth today

Clinicians at AdventHealth locations billed 1,495 low-dose CT lung screening reads to Medicare fee-for-service in 2024. Including Medicare Advantage and other insurers, we estimate about 3,200 to 8,800 screenings a year.

Most adults who qualify see a primary care clinician every year. We count 3,950 primary care clinicians, 56 pulmonologists and 49 thoracic surgeons practicing at AdventHealth locations. A 20 pack-year smoking history is often missing from structured EHR fields, so many eligible patients are never flagged.

CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271); clinicians matched to AdventHealth by practice address using the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems 2023, so reads billed by outside radiology groups are not included. The all-payer estimate scales Medicare fee-for-service by the local Medicare Advantage share (54%, CMS) and, at the high end, by the share of eligible adults under 65 (63%).

41 acute care hospitals

  • Adventhealth OrlandoOrlando, FL
  • Adventhealth TampaTampa, FL
  • Adventhealth OcalaOcala, FL
  • Adventhealth Daytona BeachDaytona Beach, FL
  • Adventhealth Shawnee MissionShawnee Mission, KS
  • Adventhealth WatermanTavares, FL
  • Adventhealth Fish MemorialOrange City, FL
  • Adventist Hinsdale HospitalHinsdale, IL
  • Adventhealth RedmondRome, GA
  • Texas Health HuguleyBurleson, TX
  • Adventhealth Central TexasKilleen, TX
  • Adventhealth SebringSebring, FL

And 29 more acute care hospitals.

Find them, reach them, give radiologists a second opinion

LungIQ Find

Reads clinical notes, diagnoses and medications in the EHR and returns a ranked list of patients likely eligible, including those whose pack-year history is missing. Start with a CSV export refreshed every 1, 3 or 6 months, or connect through FHIR or HL7.

LungNAV Reach

An AI patient navigator that texts and calls patients in 70+ languages, answers questions about the scan, and hands each patient to your scheduling team or nurse navigators with a call summary.

LungAI Second opinion

Gives radiologists a malignancy risk score for each nodule, factoring in change since the prior scan, inside the PACS and CADe software they already use. The radiologist makes the final call.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. It is not commercially available in the United States.

How we estimate the gap

Modeled estimates from public data. They are not a count of AdventHealth patients and contain no patient information.

  • Service area: CMS Hospital Service Area File 2025 (counties within 120 miles of a system hospital holding 80% of its Medicare inpatients, plus any county with at least 1%); hospitals from the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems, 2023.
  • Eligible adults, low estimate: Oatmeal Health Missing Millions (Census 2025 population, CDC PLACES smoking, USPSTF 2021).
  • Eligible adults, high estimate: University of Minnesota National Lung Cancer Screening Estimates (Haynes 2026), which also counts former smokers.
  • Screening rate: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025.
  • Lung cancer cases and deaths: NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles (incidence 2019 to 2023, deaths 2020 to 2024).
  • Screening volume: CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners, 2024; CMS Medicare Advantage State/County Penetration, September 2026.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. Oatmeal Health is preparing a 510(k) premarket notification. LungAI is not commercially available in the United States.

See AdventHealth's own numbers

In a 30 minute review we replace these public estimates with counts from your own records and agree on what a first program would look like.

Request a private screening review