Oatmeal Healthoatmealhealth.com · public-data estimate, October 2026

Baptist Memorial Health Care Corporation

Lung screening gap across 32 counties in Arkansas, Mississippi and Tennessee

110,000to190,000adults in its service area qualify for lung cancer screening and are not being screened

About 1,900 people here are diagnosed with lung cancer each year, and 65% are found at a late stage, when it is hardest to treat.

Explore the screening network
KYMOTNLAILARMSAL
32 counties19 acute care hospitalsService area
130,000 to 220,000adults likely qualify under USPSTF 2021 criteria (estimate)
1,300lung cancer deaths a year in these counties, 2020 to 2024
15.0%of eligible adults screened in these states, vs 18.2% nationally

Estimates from public data only; no patient information. Sources and method below.

Where the eligible adults live

The counties where most of Baptist Memorial Health Care Corporation's Medicare inpatients live. Darker areas hold more adults who likely qualify, which is where outreach would start. Hover or tap any area for its estimate.

Adults likely eligible, per neighborhood

0+170+240+290+350+420+490+

Acute care hospital in this system

Counties in the service area

CountyStateAdults likely eligibleLung cancer deaths per 100kMedicare screens billed locally, 2024
Shelby CountyTennessee47,400 to 80,70035.31,946
Hinds CountyMississippi11,100 to 19,20038.9904
DeSoto CountyMississippi8,400 to 15,80046.7132
Rankin CountyMississippi6,800 to 14,00034.219
Madison CountyMississippi4,700 to 9,40033.2135
Craighead CountyArkansas4,900 to 9,00047.7313
Tipton CountyTennessee4,000 to 5,90054.2None billed locally
Lowndes CountyMississippi3,000 to 5,40037.0110
Fayette CountyTennessee3,200 to 5,00028.2None billed locally
Greene CountyArkansas2,800 to 4,30053.220
Crittenden CountyArkansas2,800 to 4,20050.9None billed locally
Lafayette CountyMississippi2,000 to 4,00031.5130
Mississippi CountyArkansas2,300 to 3,80067.4None billed locally
Marshall CountyMississippi2,600 to 3,60065.1None billed locally
Obion CountyTennessee2,300 to 3,20064.2None billed locally
Panola CountyMississippi2,300 to 3,20050.5None billed locally
Carroll CountyTennessee2,100 to 3,00050.4None billed locally
Pontotoc CountyMississippi1,800 to 2,90054.0None billed locally
Copiah CountyMississippi1,700 to 2,70043.8None billed locally
Tate CountyMississippi1,600 to 2,70057.9None billed locally
Union CountyMississippi1,800 to 2,60045.311
Prentiss CountyMississippi1,400 to 2,40048.3None billed locally
Poinsett CountyArkansas1,600 to 2,40073.6None billed locally
Yazoo CountyMississippi1,800 to 2,30063.7None billed locally
Leake CountyMississippi1,300 to 2,10049.3None billed locally
Grenada CountyMississippi1,400 to 2,00050.6None billed locally
Coahoma CountyMississippi1,300 to 1,90059.2None billed locally
Winston CountyMississippi1,300 to 1,80038.7None billed locally
Attala CountyMississippi1,100 to 1,80062.2None billed locally
Calhoun CountyMississippi980 to 1,50047.977
Yalobusha CountyMississippi1,000 to 1,30055.4None billed locally
Tunica CountyMississippi660 to 75059.7None billed locally

21 of the 32 counties had no Medicare lung screening reads billed from a local address in 2024. County names link to their Missing Millions page.

What closing the gap would mean

If screening in these counties rose from 15.0% to the national rate of 18.2%, about 4,300 to 7,200 more people would be screened each year.

In the National Lung Screening Trial, low-dose CT screening lowered lung cancer deaths by 20% compared with chest X-ray. Today about 65% of lung cancers here are found at a late stage.

Illustrative estimate: eligible adults (range) times the change in screening rate. Not a forecast or a guarantee.

Each year in these counties

1,900new lung cancers
1,300found at a late stage
1,300lung cancer deaths

NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles, annual averages.

Screening at Baptist Memorial Health Care Corporation today

Clinicians at Baptist Memorial Health Care Corporation locations billed 1,722 low-dose CT lung screening reads to Medicare fee-for-service in 2024. Including Medicare Advantage and other insurers, we estimate about 3,100 to 9,000 screenings a year.

Most adults who qualify see a primary care clinician every year. We count 1,051 primary care clinicians, 45 pulmonologists and 22 thoracic surgeons practicing at Baptist Memorial Health Care Corporation locations. A 20 pack-year smoking history is often missing from structured EHR fields, so many eligible patients are never flagged.

CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271); clinicians matched to Baptist Memorial Health Care Corporation by practice address using the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems 2023, so reads billed by outside radiology groups are not included. The all-payer estimate scales Medicare fee-for-service by the local Medicare Advantage share (45%, CMS) and, at the high end, by the share of eligible adults under 65 (65%).

19 acute care hospitals

  • Baptist Mem Hospital MemphisMemphis, TN
  • Ms Baptist Medical CenterJackson, MS
  • Baptist Mem Hospital DesotoSouthaven, MS
  • Baptist Mem Hospital North MissOxford, MS
  • Nea Baptist Memorial HospitalJonesboro, AR
  • Bmh-Golden TriangleColumbus, MS
  • Baptist Mem Hospital Union CountyNew Albany, MS
  • Baptist Mem Hospital Tipton CountyCovington, TN
  • Baptist Mem Hospital HuntingdonHuntingdon, TN
  • Baptist Mem Hospital Union CityUnion City, TN
  • Baptist Medical Center - AttalaKosciusko, MS
  • Baptist Medical Center-LeakeCarthage, MS

And 7 more acute care hospitals.

Find them, reach them, give radiologists a second opinion

LungIQ Find

Reads clinical notes, diagnoses and medications in the EHR and returns a ranked list of patients likely eligible, including those whose pack-year history is missing. Start with a CSV export refreshed every 1, 3 or 6 months, or connect through FHIR or HL7.

LungNAV Reach

An AI patient navigator that texts and calls patients in 70+ languages, answers questions about the scan, and hands each patient to your scheduling team or nurse navigators with a call summary.

LungAI Second opinion

Gives radiologists a malignancy risk score for each nodule, factoring in change since the prior scan, inside the PACS and CADe software they already use. The radiologist makes the final call.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. It is not commercially available in the United States.

How we estimate the gap

Modeled estimates from public data. They are not a count of Baptist Memorial Health Care Corporation patients and contain no patient information.

  • Service area: CMS Hospital Service Area File 2025 (counties within 120 miles of a system hospital holding 80% of its Medicare inpatients, plus any county with at least 1%); hospitals from the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems, 2023.
  • Eligible adults, low estimate: Oatmeal Health Missing Millions (Census 2025 population, CDC PLACES smoking, USPSTF 2021).
  • Eligible adults, high estimate: University of Minnesota National Lung Cancer Screening Estimates (Haynes 2026), which also counts former smokers.
  • Screening rate: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025.
  • Lung cancer cases and deaths: NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles (incidence 2019 to 2023, deaths 2020 to 2024).
  • Screening volume: CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners, 2024; CMS Medicare Advantage State/County Penetration, September 2026.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. Oatmeal Health is preparing a 510(k) premarket notification. LungAI is not commercially available in the United States.

See Baptist Memorial Health Care Corporation's own numbers

In a 30 minute review we replace these public estimates with counts from your own records and agree on what a first program would look like.

Request a private screening review