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I read the new CMS data on FQHCs. The numbers surprised me. 🔍

Everyone told me the One Big Beautiful Bill would hollow out the safety net. The National Association of Community Health Centers warned that many community health centers were already making tough decisions about cutting back services, reducing essential staff, and closing sites.

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said hospitals and community-based health centers were closing all throughout America.

The data says something different.

According to the Paragon Health Institute, drawing from comprehensive CMS enrollment data, here is what actually happened between July 1, 2025 and July 17, 2026:

🔹 The number of FQHCs increased by 338, a 3.1 percent gain
🔹 The number of Rural Health Clinics rose by 148, a 2.7 percent gain
🔹 Combined, that is a net gain of nearly 500 facilities serving rural and lower-income communities

Zoom out even further. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2023, the number of FQHCs has increased by nearly 1,400.

Nearly 1,400 more community health centers operating than just two years ago.

🧩 Now here is the part that matters most for anyone in this space.

The data does not tell us the full story. Paragon is clear about this. The OBBB’s biggest reforms, community engagement requirements and limits on state-directed payments, have not yet taken effect. The real test comes later, not now.

Some providers have closed. Individual closures are real. But an accurate accounting has to look at both sides: the openings and the closures.

The dominant narrative collapsed when you put actual numbers next to it.

⚠️ Here is what I think is actually happening.

FQHCs have proven to be more resilient than anyone predicted in the short run. The Rural Health Transformation Program, which began distributing $10 billion in annual federal funds to states in early 2026, is likely contributing to some of this growth.

But resilience now does not mean safety later. The pressures building inside these centers, staffing strain, Medicaid uncertainty, administrative burden, are not going away. They are compounding quietly.

The centers that open this year will face a harder operating environment next year.

More doors open does not automatically mean more capacity inside those doors.

What we build right now, the workflows, the tools, the infrastructure, will determine whether these centers can absorb what is coming. That is the work I wake up thinking about every morning.

👉 Follow Jonathan Govette, CEO of Oatmeal Health, for daily healthcare insights on LinkedIn. Deeper dives in The Oatmeal Bite on Substack: https://news.oatmealhealth.com

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