Missing Millions · 2026 estimate

Minnesota is missing 201,700 lung cancer screenings.

About 1 in 9 adults ages 50 to 80 in Minnesota qualifies for lung cancer screening and hasn't been screened. Find your county below.

245,700adults qualify for screening under USPSTF 2021 criteria (estimate)
17.9%were screened, 30th of 51 (American Lung Association, 2025); 18.2% nationally
9,099low-dose CT screening scans billed to Medicare fee-for-service by Minnesota providers in 2024

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2025; CDC PLACES 2025; USPSTF 2021; American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025; CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271). Modeled estimates; see methodology below.

The gap, county by county

Shade shows how many adults ages 50 to 80 are missing screening. Select a county.

Hennepin County

34,600

missing lung cancer screenings (estimate)

  • Qualify for screening42,200
  • Adults 50 to 80 missing screening1 in 11
  • Medicare low-dose CT scans, 20243,832
Open the Hennepin County page

Every Minnesota county, ranked

Ranked by estimated missing screenings. Select a column to sort.
1Hennepin County34,60042,2001 in 113,832
2Ramsey County16,10019,6001 in 102,474
3Anoka County13,60016,6001 in 947
4Dakota County13,50016,5001 in 1126
5St. Louis County8,90010,8001 in 8883
6Washington County8,50010,4001 in 110
7Stearns County5,7006,9001 in 9413
8Scott County5,0006,0001 in 100
9Wright County4,9006,0001 in 100
10Olmsted County4,6005,6001 in 11950
11Sherburne County3,6004,4001 in 90
12Carver County3,4004,2001 in 1142
13Crow Wing County3,3004,0001 in 8121
14Otter Tail County3,0003,7001 in 80
15Chisago County2,5003,1001 in 80
16Rice County2,5003,0001 in 90
17Itasca County2,4002,9001 in 80
18Goodhue County2,1002,6001 in 80
19Beltrami County2,1002,5001 in 778
20Blue Earth County2,0002,5001 in 985
21Isanti County2,0002,4001 in 80
22Clay County2,0002,4001 in 90
23Cass County2,0002,4001 in 70
24Pine County1,8002,2001 in 70
25Kandiyohi County1,7002,1001 in 90
26Carlton County1,7002,1001 in 80
27Winona County1,7002,1001 in 90
28Becker County1,7002,1001 in 838
29Douglas County1,7002,1001 in 90
30Morrison County1,7002,1001 in 80
31Benton County1,6002,0001 in 80
32Mower County1,6002,0001 in 862
33McLeod County1,6001,9001 in 80
34Freeborn County1,5001,8001 in 848
35Steele County1,5001,8001 in 90
36Mille Lacs County1,4001,7001 in 70
37Todd County1,4001,7001 in 70
38Polk County1,2001,5001 in 80
39Le Sueur County1,2001,5001 in 90
40Nicollet County1,2001,4001 in 90
41Aitkin County1,1001,3001 in 80
42Brown County1,1001,3001 in 80
43Hubbard County1,1001,3001 in 90
44Meeker County1,1001,3001 in 80
45Fillmore County9801,2001 in 80
46Wabasha County9601,2001 in 90
47Martin County9401,1001 in 80
48Kanabec County9301,1001 in 70
49Lyon County9201,1001 in 80
50Nobles County8501,0001 in 70
51Waseca County8201,0001 in 80
52Houston County8109901 in 90
53Dodge County7409001 in 90
54Roseau County7208701 in 80
55Renville County7008601 in 70
56Redwood County7008501 in 80
57Sibley County6908401 in 80
58Wadena County6808301 in 70
59Faribault County6808301 in 80
60Koochiching County6708101 in 80
61Pennington County5907201 in 80
62Lake County5707001 in 80
63Chippewa County5406601 in 80
64Pope County5306501 in 80
65Cottonwood County4906001 in 80
66Clearwater County4605701 in 70
67Swift County4605601 in 70
68Yellow Medicine County4505501 in 80
69Jackson County4205201 in 90
70Watonwan County4205201 in 80
71Pipestone County4205101 in 70
72Marshall County4105001 in 80
73Rock County4105001 in 80
74Murray County3704501 in 80
75Mahnomen County3504201 in 50
76Norman County3103801 in 80
77Wilkin County3103701 in 70
78Grant County3003601 in 70
79Lac qui Parle County2903501 in 90
80Cook County2803401 in 90
81Stevens County2703301 in 90
82Lincoln County2603201 in 80
83Big Stone County2403001 in 80
84Lake of the Woods County2102601 in 80
85Kittson County1902301 in 90
86Red Lake County1802201 in 80
87Traverse County1501801 in 80

Methodology

How we estimate the gap

A modeled estimate from public data only. It is not a count of patients and contains no patient information.

missing = adults 50 to 80 × county smoking rate × national eligibility factor × (1 − state screening rate)

  • Adults 50 to 80: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2025
  • Smoking: CDC PLACES 2025 release (Kentucky and Pennsylvania: 2024 release)
  • Eligibility: USPSTF 2021 criteria, scaled to about 14.5 million eligible adults nationally
  • Screening rates: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025
  • Who is missing: Census population estimates (age) and American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 (language)
  • Screening activity: CMS Medicare fee-for-service claims for low-dose CT (CPT 71271), 2024, by provider location

Estimates under 50 are shown as "fewer than 50"; others are rounded. Full methodology

Many of them are already your patients.

Oatmeal Health helps health systems and community health centers find, navigate, and screen the people who qualify, alongside the care teams you already have.

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