Missing Millions · 2026 estimate

Vermont is missing 21,300 lung cancer screenings.

About 1 in 12 adults ages 50 to 80 in Vermont qualifies for lung cancer screening and hasn't been screened. Find your county below.

27,900adults qualify for screening under USPSTF 2021 criteria (estimate)
23.8%were screened, 7th of 51 (American Lung Association, 2025); 18.2% nationally
1,890low-dose CT screening scans billed to Medicare fee-for-service by Vermont providers in 2024

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2025; CDC PLACES 2025; USPSTF 2021; American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025; CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271). Modeled estimates; see methodology below.

The gap, county by county

Shade shows how many adults ages 50 to 80 are missing screening. Select a county.

Chittenden County

3,500

missing lung cancer screenings (estimate)

  • Qualify for screening4,600
  • Adults 50 to 80 missing screening1 in 16
  • Medicare low-dose CT scans, 2024939
Open the Chittenden County page

Every Vermont county, ranked

Ranked by estimated missing screenings. Select a column to sort.
1Chittenden County3,5004,6001 in 16939
2Rutland County2,5003,3001 in 10235
3Windsor County2,0002,7001 in 120
4Washington County2,0002,6001 in 12187
5Franklin County1,8002,4001 in 10153
6Windham County1,8002,3001 in 1189
7Bennington County1,4001,8001 in 11128
8Caledonia County1,3001,7001 in 10120
9Orleans County1,2001,5001 in 100
10Orange County1,1001,5001 in 1139
11Addison County1,1001,5001 in 130
12Lamoille County8801,2001 in 110
13Essex County3304401 in 80
14Grand Isle County3004001 in 120

Methodology

How we estimate the gap

A modeled estimate from public data only. It is not a count of patients and contains no patient information.

missing = adults 50 to 80 × county smoking rate × national eligibility factor × (1 − state screening rate)

  • Adults 50 to 80: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2025
  • Smoking: CDC PLACES 2025 release (Kentucky and Pennsylvania: 2024 release)
  • Eligibility: USPSTF 2021 criteria, scaled to about 14.5 million eligible adults nationally
  • Screening rates: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025
  • Who is missing: Census population estimates (age) and American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 (language)
  • Screening activity: CMS Medicare fee-for-service claims for low-dose CT (CPT 71271), 2024, by provider location

Estimates under 50 are shown as "fewer than 50"; others are rounded. Full methodology

Many of them are already your patients.

Oatmeal Health helps health systems and community health centers find, navigate, and screen the people who qualify, alongside the care teams you already have.

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