Oatmeal Healthoatmealhealth.com · public-data estimate, October 2026

Baptist Healthcare System

Lung screening gap across 32 counties in Illinois, Indiana and Kentucky

110,000to200,000adults in its service area qualify for lung cancer screening and are not being screened

About 2,500 people here are diagnosed with lung cancer each year, and 67% are found at a late stage, when it is hardest to treat.

Explore the screening network
KYMOTNILOHINARNCWV
32 counties10 acute care hospitalsService area
140,000 to 260,000adults likely qualify under USPSTF 2021 criteria (estimate)
1,400lung cancer deaths a year in these counties, 2020 to 2024
21.2%of eligible adults screened in these states, vs 18.2% nationally

Estimates from public data only; no patient information. Sources and method below.

Where the eligible adults live

The counties where most of Baptist Healthcare System's Medicare inpatients live. Darker areas hold more adults who likely qualify, which is where outreach would start. Hover or tap any area for its estimate.

Adults likely eligible, per neighborhood

0+190+270+330+390+470+550+

Acute care hospital in this system

Counties in the service area

CountyStateAdults likely eligibleLung cancer deaths per 100kMedicare screens billed locally, 2024
Jefferson CountyKentucky41,600 to 81,60039.61,854
Fayette CountyKentucky14,400 to 29,60032.31,771
Clark CountyIndiana7,000 to 11,10045.9647
Hardin CountyKentucky6,200 to 11,00047.4133
Bullitt CountyKentucky5,900 to 8,90042.0180
Madison CountyKentucky4,900 to 8,60050.313
Floyd CountyIndiana4,100 to 7,70044.9None billed locally
McCracken CountyKentucky4,700 to 7,50043.1366
Oldham CountyKentucky2,900 to 6,90029.3None billed locally
Laurel CountyKentucky4,700 to 6,50059.3None billed locally
Franklin CountyKentucky2,900 to 5,80041.8108
Jessamine CountyKentucky2,600 to 5,50038.9None billed locally
Scott CountyKentucky2,900 to 5,30043.8None billed locally
Christian CountyKentucky3,400 to 5,30053.1174
Shelby CountyKentucky2,700 to 5,20040.9None billed locally
Hopkins CountyKentucky3,500 to 5,20052.066
Nelson CountyKentucky2,800 to 5,00044.6None billed locally
Harrison CountyIndiana2,400 to 4,20042.1None billed locally
Graves CountyKentucky2,500 to 4,10051.9None billed locally
Marshall CountyKentucky2,200 to 3,90049.8None billed locally
Whitley CountyKentucky2,500 to 3,60074.9152
Knox CountyKentucky2,400 to 3,30072.0None billed locally
Woodford CountyKentucky1,300 to 3,20039.6None billed locally
Meade CountyKentucky2,000 to 3,00049.1None billed locally
Washington CountyIndiana2,000 to 2,90057.3None billed locally
Scott CountyIndiana1,700 to 2,40069.3None billed locally
Breckinridge CountyKentucky2,100 to 2,40063.8None billed locally
Hart CountyKentucky1,700 to 2,20063.4None billed locally
Henry CountyKentucky1,200 to 1,80051.1None billed locally
Larue CountyKentucky1,300 to 1,70048.9None billed locally
Massac CountyIllinois860 to 1,20050.8None billed locally
Crawford CountyIndiana1,000 to 1,20034.9None billed locally

21 of the 32 counties had no Medicare lung screening reads billed from a local address in 2024. County names link to their Missing Millions page.

What closing the gap would mean

If screening in these counties rose from 21.2% to 26.2%, five points above today, about 7,200 to 12,900 more people would be screened each year.

In the National Lung Screening Trial, low-dose CT screening lowered lung cancer deaths by 20% compared with chest X-ray. Today about 67% of lung cancers here are found at a late stage.

Illustrative estimate: eligible adults (range) times the change in screening rate. Not a forecast or a guarantee.

Each year in these counties

2,500new lung cancers
1,700found at a late stage
1,400lung cancer deaths

NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles, annual averages.

Screening at Baptist Healthcare System today

Clinicians at Baptist Healthcare System locations billed 696 low-dose CT lung screening reads to Medicare fee-for-service in 2024. Including Medicare Advantage and other insurers, we estimate about 1,400 to 4,100 screenings a year.

Most adults who qualify see a primary care clinician every year. We count 1,241 primary care clinicians, 13 pulmonologists and 24 thoracic surgeons practicing at Baptist Healthcare System locations. A 20 pack-year smoking history is often missing from structured EHR fields, so many eligible patients are never flagged.

CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271); clinicians matched to Baptist Healthcare System by practice address using the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems 2023, so reads billed by outside radiology groups are not included. The all-payer estimate scales Medicare fee-for-service by the local Medicare Advantage share (51%, CMS) and, at the high end, by the share of eligible adults under 65 (65%).

10 acute care hospitals

  • Baptist Health LouisvilleLouisville, KY
  • Baptist Health LexingtonLexington, KY
  • Baptist Health HardinElizabethtown, KY
  • Baptist Health FloydNew Albany, IN
  • Baptist Health CorbinCorbin, KY
  • Baptist Health PaducahPaducah, KY
  • Baptist Health MadisonvilleMadisonville, KY
  • Baptist Health RichmondRichmond, KY
  • Baptist Health LagrangeLa Grange, KY
  • Marshall County HospitalBenton, KY

Find them, reach them, give radiologists a second opinion

LungIQ Find

Reads clinical notes, diagnoses and medications in the EHR and returns a ranked list of patients likely eligible, including those whose pack-year history is missing. Start with a CSV export refreshed every 1, 3 or 6 months, or connect through FHIR or HL7.

LungNAV Reach

An AI patient navigator that texts and calls patients in 70+ languages, answers questions about the scan, and hands each patient to your scheduling team or nurse navigators with a call summary.

LungAI Second opinion

Gives radiologists a malignancy risk score for each nodule, factoring in change since the prior scan, inside the PACS and CADe software they already use. The radiologist makes the final call.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. It is not commercially available in the United States.

How we estimate the gap

Modeled estimates from public data. They are not a count of Baptist Healthcare System patients and contain no patient information.

  • Service area: CMS Hospital Service Area File 2025 (counties within 120 miles of a system hospital holding 80% of its Medicare inpatients, plus any county with at least 1%); hospitals from the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems, 2023.
  • Eligible adults, low estimate: Oatmeal Health Missing Millions (Census 2025 population, CDC PLACES smoking, USPSTF 2021).
  • Eligible adults, high estimate: University of Minnesota National Lung Cancer Screening Estimates (Haynes 2026), which also counts former smokers.
  • Screening rate: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025.
  • Lung cancer cases and deaths: NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles (incidence 2019 to 2023, deaths 2020 to 2024).
  • Screening volume: CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners, 2024; CMS Medicare Advantage State/County Penetration, September 2026.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. Oatmeal Health is preparing a 510(k) premarket notification. LungAI is not commercially available in the United States.

See Baptist Healthcare System's own numbers

In a 30 minute review we replace these public estimates with counts from your own records and agree on what a first program would look like.

Request a private screening review