Oatmeal Healthoatmealhealth.com · public-data estimate, October 2026

Intermountain Healthcare

Lung screening gap across 25 counties in Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada and Utah

240,000to440,000adults in its service area qualify for lung cancer screening and are not being screened

About 3,100 people here are diagnosed with lung cancer each year, and 61% are found at a late stage, when it is hardest to treat.

Explore the screening network
CAORIDMTNVCOUTWYNMAZ
25 counties31 acute care hospitalsService areaShowing the Idaho, Nevada and Utah region; all regions are mapped below.
270,000 to 500,000adults likely qualify under USPSTF 2021 criteria (estimate)
1,900lung cancer deaths a year in these counties, 2020 to 2024
12.8%of eligible adults screened in these states, vs 18.2% nationally

Estimates from public data only; no patient information. Sources and method below.

Where the eligible adults live

The counties where most of Intermountain Healthcare's Medicare inpatients live. Darker areas hold more adults who likely qualify, which is where outreach would start. Hover or tap any area for its estimate.

Idaho, Nevada and Utah

Colorado: Jefferson area

Montana: Yellowstone area

Colorado: Mesa area

Montana: Silver Bow area

Adults likely eligible, per neighborhood

0+120+170+220+280+340+420+

Acute care hospital in this system

Counties in the service area

CountyStateAdults likely eligibleLung cancer deaths per 100kMedicare screens billed locally, 2024
Clark CountyNevada112,900 to 186,10029.01,127
Jefferson CountyColorado19,100 to 47,30019.0559
Denver CountyColorado18,200 to 46,60020.7333
Salt Lake CountyUtah25,300 to 45,30015.3138
Adams CountyColorado19,100 to 34,80024.1676
Boulder CountyColorado9,300 to 23,40015.3127
Weld CountyColorado12,700 to 22,20021.5None billed locally
Utah CountyUtah8,700 to 17,70010.971
Yellowstone CountyMontana7,700 to 13,20026.3115
Davis CountyUtah6,700 to 12,50015.555
Mesa CountyColorado7,300 to 12,30025.2362
Weber CountyUtah6,600 to 10,60019.169
Washington CountyUtah5,300 to 8,30014.430
Cache CountyUtah2,400 to 3,80011.7None billed locally
Silver Bow CountyMontana1,800 to 3,20028.4None billed locally
Box Elder CountyUtah1,600 to 2,30017.7None billed locally
Summit CountyUtah1,000 to 2,2009.2None billed locally
Iron CountyUtah1,700 to 2,00013.3None billed locally
Cassia CountyIdaho900 to 1,60012.5None billed locally
Wasatch CountyUtah860 to 1,40010.7None billed locally
Sanpete CountyUtah950 to 1,30013.0None billed locally
Custer CountyMontana610 to 1,10020.9None billed locally
Sevier CountyUtah700 to 99016.1None billed locally
Millard CountyUtah440 to 600—None billed locally
Garfield CountyUtah180 to 280—None billed locally

13 of the 25 counties had no Medicare lung screening reads billed from a local address in 2024. County names link to their Missing Millions page.

What closing the gap would mean

If screening in these counties rose from 12.8% to the national rate of 18.2%, about 14,800 to 27,200 more people would be screened each year.

In the National Lung Screening Trial, low-dose CT screening lowered lung cancer deaths by 20% compared with chest X-ray. Today about 61% of lung cancers here are found at a late stage.

Illustrative estimate: eligible adults (range) times the change in screening rate. Not a forecast or a guarantee.

Each year in these counties

3,100new lung cancers
1,900found at a late stage
1,900lung cancer deaths

NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles, annual averages.

Screening at Intermountain Healthcare today

Clinicians at Intermountain Healthcare locations billed 417 low-dose CT lung screening reads to Medicare fee-for-service in 2024. Including Medicare Advantage and other insurers, we estimate about 960 to 2,700 screenings a year.

Most adults who qualify see a primary care clinician every year. We count 2,916 primary care clinicians, 53 pulmonologists and 39 thoracic surgeons practicing at Intermountain Healthcare locations. A 20 pack-year smoking history is often missing from structured EHR fields, so many eligible patients are never flagged.

CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271); clinicians matched to Intermountain Healthcare by practice address using the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems 2023, so reads billed by outside radiology groups are not included. The all-payer estimate scales Medicare fee-for-service by the local Medicare Advantage share (57%, CMS) and, at the high end, by the share of eligible adults under 65 (64%).

31 acute care hospitals

  • Intermountain Medical CenterMurray, UT
  • Saint Joseph HospitalDenver, CO
  • Utah Valley HospitalProvo, UT
  • Primary Childrens HospitalSalt Lake City, UT
  • St George Regional HospitalSaint George, UT
  • Intermountain Health St. Mary's Regional HospitalGrand Junction, CO
  • Lutheran Medical CenterWheat Ridge, CO
  • Mckay-Dee HospitalOgden, UT
  • Lds HospitalSalt Lake City, UT
  • St Vincent HealthcareBillings, MT
  • Good Samaritan Medical CtrLafayette, CO
  • Logan Regional HospitalLogan, UT

And 19 more acute care hospitals.

Find them, reach them, give radiologists a second opinion

LungIQ Find

Reads clinical notes, diagnoses and medications in the EHR and returns a ranked list of patients likely eligible, including those whose pack-year history is missing. Start with a CSV export refreshed every 1, 3 or 6 months, or connect through FHIR or HL7.

LungNAV Reach

An AI patient navigator that texts and calls patients in 70+ languages, answers questions about the scan, and hands each patient to your scheduling team or nurse navigators with a call summary.

LungAI Second opinion

Gives radiologists a malignancy risk score for each nodule, factoring in change since the prior scan, inside the PACS and CADe software they already use. The radiologist makes the final call.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. It is not commercially available in the United States.

How we estimate the gap

Modeled estimates from public data. They are not a count of Intermountain Healthcare patients and contain no patient information.

  • Service area: CMS Hospital Service Area File 2025 (counties within 120 miles of a system hospital holding 80% of its Medicare inpatients, plus any county with at least 1%); hospitals from the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems, 2023.
  • Eligible adults, low estimate: Oatmeal Health Missing Millions (Census 2025 population, CDC PLACES smoking, USPSTF 2021).
  • Eligible adults, high estimate: University of Minnesota National Lung Cancer Screening Estimates (Haynes 2026), which also counts former smokers.
  • Screening rate: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025.
  • Lung cancer cases and deaths: NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles (incidence 2019 to 2023, deaths 2020 to 2024).
  • Screening volume: CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners, 2024; CMS Medicare Advantage State/County Penetration, September 2026.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. Oatmeal Health is preparing a 510(k) premarket notification. LungAI is not commercially available in the United States.

See Intermountain Healthcare's own numbers

In a 30 minute review we replace these public estimates with counts from your own records and agree on what a first program would look like.