Oatmeal Healthoatmealhealth.com · public-data estimate, October 2026

Prime Healthcare Services

Lung screening gap across 30 counties in Alabama, California, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Texas

1.2Mto2.2Madults in its service area qualify for lung cancer screening and are not being screened

About 17,700 people here are diagnosed with lung cancer each year, and 64% are found at a late stage, when it is hardest to treat.

Explore the screening network
CANVUTAZ
30 counties43 acute care hospitalsService areaShowing the California and Nevada region; all regions are mapped below.
1.4M to 2.6Madults likely qualify under USPSTF 2021 criteria (estimate)
11,000lung cancer deaths a year in these counties, 2020 to 2024
17.2%of eligible adults screened in these states, vs 18.2% nationally

Estimates from public data only; no patient information. Sources and method below.

Where the eligible adults live

The counties where most of Prime Healthcare Services's Medicare inpatients live. Darker areas hold more adults who likely qualify, which is where outreach would start. Hover or tap any area for its estimate.

California and Nevada

New Jersey and Pennsylvania

Texas: Dallas area

Michigan

Texas: Hidalgo area

Kansas and Missouri

Plus 7 smaller areas listed in the table.

Adults likely eligible, per county

0+10,400+12,900+39,500+60,200+117,800+186,100+

Acute care hospital in this system

Counties in the service area

CountyStateAdults likely eligibleLung cancer deaths per 100kMedicare screens billed locally, 2024
Los Angeles CountyCalifornia341,600 to 644,90019.75,864
San Diego CountyCalifornia99,700 to 208,80021.62,544
Orange CountyCalifornia96,000 to 202,70020.21,029
Dallas CountyTexas88,000 to 187,00026.52,029
Clark CountyNevada112,900 to 186,10029.01,127
Wayne CountyMichigan96,400 to 157,00037.13,271
Riverside CountyCalifornia89,200 to 152,70023.8181
San Bernardino CountyCalifornia77,900 to 132,20024.3219
Philadelphia CountyPennsylvania80,700 to 117,80035.12,930
Montgomery CountyPennsylvania38,000 to 73,60025.0633
Hidalgo CountyTexas30,600 to 71,20014.596
Jackson CountyMissouri34,900 to 63,30036.51,589
Bucks CountyPennsylvania38,600 to 60,20027.5452
Essex CountyNew Jersey32,500 to 55,20019.1402
Providence CountyRhode Island26,000 to 47,20030.91,098
Cameron CountyTexas15,900 to 41,70017.2None billed locally
Washoe CountyNevada21,100 to 41,40025.0194
Morris CountyNew Jersey15,500 to 39,50020.6623
Passaic CountyNew Jersey20,200 to 38,20021.8816
Clayton CountyGeorgia13,900 to 17,90027.264
St. Clair CountyMichigan10,300 to 16,80044.2101
Shasta CountyCalifornia8,900 to 12,90034.9705
Wyandotte CountyKansas8,100 to 12,90049.4334
Columbiana CountyOhio7,200 to 11,30042.788
Monroe CountyIndiana4,500 to 10,90033.7123
Etowah CountyAlabama6,700 to 10,40043.8124
Leavenworth CountyKansas3,700 to 6,50037.076
Coshocton CountyOhio2,600 to 3,80045.5None billed locally
Hendry CountyFlorida2,300 to 3,70033.1None billed locally
Gray CountyTexas1,100 to 1,80045.5None billed locally

4 of the 30 counties had no Medicare lung screening reads billed from a local address in 2024. County names link to their Missing Millions page.

What closing the gap would mean

If screening in these counties rose from 17.2% to the national rate of 18.2%, about 14,400 to 26,700 more people would be screened each year.

In the National Lung Screening Trial, low-dose CT screening lowered lung cancer deaths by 20% compared with chest X-ray. Today about 64% of lung cancers here are found at a late stage.

Illustrative estimate: eligible adults (range) times the change in screening rate. Not a forecast or a guarantee.

Each year in these counties

17,700new lung cancers
11,300found at a late stage
10,600lung cancer deaths

NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles, annual averages.

Screening at Prime Healthcare Services today

Clinicians at Prime Healthcare Services locations billed 810 low-dose CT lung screening reads to Medicare fee-for-service in 2024. Including Medicare Advantage and other insurers, we estimate about 1,900 to 5,500 screenings a year.

Most adults who qualify see a primary care clinician every year. We count 1,181 primary care clinicians, 27 pulmonologists and 19 thoracic surgeons practicing at Prime Healthcare Services locations. A 20 pack-year smoking history is often missing from structured EHR fields, so many eligible patients are never flagged.

CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271); clinicians matched to Prime Healthcare Services by practice address using the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems 2023, so reads billed by outside radiology groups are not included. The all-payer estimate scales Medicare fee-for-service by the local Medicare Advantage share (57%, CMS) and, at the high end, by the share of eligible adults under 65 (66%).

43 acute care hospitals

  • St Marys Regional Medical CenterReno, NV
  • St Francis Medical CenterLynwood, CA
  • Mission Regional Medical CenterMission, TX
  • Centinela Hospital Medical CenterInglewood, CA
  • Riverview Regional Medical CenterGadsden, AL
  • St. Clares HospitalDenville, NJ
  • Southern Regional Medical CenterRiverdale, GA
  • St Joseph Medical CenterKansas City, MO
  • Paradise Valley HospitalNational City, CA
  • Alvarado Hospital Medical CenterSan Diego, CA
  • Dallas Regional Medical CenterMesquite, TX
  • Providence Medical CenterKansas City, KS

And 31 more acute care hospitals.

Find them, reach them, give radiologists a second opinion

LungIQ Find

Reads clinical notes, diagnoses and medications in the EHR and returns a ranked list of patients likely eligible, including those whose pack-year history is missing. Start with a CSV export refreshed every 1, 3 or 6 months, or connect through FHIR or HL7.

LungNAV Reach

An AI patient navigator that texts and calls patients in 70+ languages, answers questions about the scan, and hands each patient to your scheduling team or nurse navigators with a call summary.

LungAI Second opinion

Gives radiologists a malignancy risk score for each nodule, factoring in change since the prior scan, inside the PACS and CADe software they already use. The radiologist makes the final call.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. It is not commercially available in the United States.

How we estimate the gap

Modeled estimates from public data. They are not a count of Prime Healthcare Services patients and contain no patient information.

  • Service area: CMS Hospital Service Area File 2025 (counties within 120 miles of a system hospital holding 80% of its Medicare inpatients, plus any county with at least 1%); hospitals from the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems, 2023.
  • Eligible adults, low estimate: Oatmeal Health Missing Millions (Census 2025 population, CDC PLACES smoking, USPSTF 2021).
  • Eligible adults, high estimate: University of Minnesota National Lung Cancer Screening Estimates (Haynes 2026), which also counts former smokers.
  • Screening rate: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025.
  • Lung cancer cases and deaths: NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles (incidence 2019 to 2023, deaths 2020 to 2024).
  • Screening volume: CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners, 2024; CMS Medicare Advantage State/County Penetration, September 2026.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. Oatmeal Health is preparing a 510(k) premarket notification. LungAI is not commercially available in the United States.

See Prime Healthcare Services's own numbers

In a 30 minute review we replace these public estimates with counts from your own records and agree on what a first program would look like.