Oatmeal Healthoatmealhealth.com · public-data estimate, October 2026

University of Tennessee Medical Center

Lung screening gap across 19 counties in Tennessee

86,000to130,000adults in its service area qualify for lung cancer screening and are not being screened

About 1,600 people here are diagnosed with lung cancer each year, and 64% are found at a late stage, when it is hardest to treat.

Explore the screening network
KYGAVATNNCSC
19 counties1 acute care hospitalService area
100,000 to 150,000adults likely qualify under USPSTF 2021 criteria (estimate)
990lung cancer deaths a year in these counties, 2020 to 2024
14.8%of eligible adults screened in the state, vs 18.2% nationally

Estimates from public data only; no patient information. Sources and method below.

Where the eligible adults live

The counties where most of University of Tennessee Medical Center's Medicare inpatients live. Darker areas hold more adults who likely qualify, which is where outreach would start. Hover or tap any area for its estimate.

Adults likely eligible, per neighborhood

0+250+320+380+430+500+580+

Acute care hospital in this system

Counties in the service area

CountyAdults likely eligibleLung cancer deaths per 100kMedicare screens billed locally, 2024
Knox County23,600 to 43,70037.31,902
Blount County9,000 to 14,70039.5136
Sevier County7,200 to 10,90039.9None billed locally
Anderson County5,400 to 8,30045.8254
Greene County6,000 to 7,90048.2180
Cumberland County6,100 to 7,90035.9None billed locally
Hamblen County4,800 to 6,80047.711
Loudon County4,500 to 6,60033.5None billed locally
Roane County4,300 to 6,50043.0None billed locally
Jefferson County4,200 to 6,10049.2None billed locally
McMinn County4,100 to 5,80052.9102
Monroe County4,400 to 5,20051.3None billed locally
Campbell County3,500 to 4,40069.3None billed locally
Cocke County3,700 to 4,20059.819
Claiborne County2,600 to 3,50067.3None billed locally
Grainger County2,200 to 2,80064.3None billed locally
Scott County2,100 to 2,20051.0None billed locally
Union County1,700 to 2,20063.4None billed locally
Fentress County1,900 to 2,10059.8None billed locally

12 of the 19 counties had no Medicare lung screening reads billed from a local address in 2024. County names link to their Missing Millions page.

What closing the gap would mean

If screening in these counties rose from 14.8% to the national rate of 18.2%, about 3,400 to 5,200 more people would be screened each year.

In the National Lung Screening Trial, low-dose CT screening lowered lung cancer deaths by 20% compared with chest X-ray. Today about 64% of lung cancers here are found at a late stage.

Illustrative estimate: eligible adults (range) times the change in screening rate. Not a forecast or a guarantee.

Each year in these counties

1,600new lung cancers
1,000found at a late stage
990lung cancer deaths

NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles, annual averages.

Screening at University of Tennessee Medical Center today

Clinicians at University of Tennessee Medical Center locations billed 406 low-dose CT lung screening reads to Medicare fee-for-service in 2024. Including Medicare Advantage and other insurers, we estimate about 950 to 2,400 screenings a year.

Most adults who qualify see a primary care clinician every year. We count 519 primary care clinicians, 22 pulmonologists and 14 thoracic surgeons practicing at University of Tennessee Medical Center locations. A 20 pack-year smoking history is often missing from structured EHR fields, so many eligible patients are never flagged.

CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271); clinicians matched to University of Tennessee Medical Center by practice address using the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems 2023, so reads billed by outside radiology groups are not included. The all-payer estimate scales Medicare fee-for-service by the local Medicare Advantage share (57%, CMS) and, at the high end, by the share of eligible adults under 65 (61%).

1 acute care hospital

  • University of Tennessee Medical CenterKnoxville, TN

Find them, reach them, give radiologists a second opinion

LungIQ Find

Reads clinical notes, diagnoses and medications in the EHR and returns a ranked list of patients likely eligible, including those whose pack-year history is missing. Start with a CSV export refreshed every 1, 3 or 6 months, or connect through FHIR or HL7.

LungNAV Reach

An AI patient navigator that texts and calls patients in 70+ languages, answers questions about the scan, and hands each patient to your scheduling team or nurse navigators with a call summary.

LungAI Second opinion

Gives radiologists a malignancy risk score for each nodule, factoring in change since the prior scan, inside the PACS and CADe software they already use. The radiologist makes the final call.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. It is not commercially available in the United States.

How we estimate the gap

Modeled estimates from public data. They are not a count of University of Tennessee Medical Center patients and contain no patient information.

  • Service area: CMS Hospital Service Area File 2025 (counties within 120 miles of a system hospital holding 80% of its Medicare inpatients, plus any county with at least 1%); hospitals from the AHRQ Compendium of U.S. Health Systems, 2023.
  • Eligible adults, low estimate: Oatmeal Health Missing Millions (Census 2025 population, CDC PLACES smoking, USPSTF 2021).
  • Eligible adults, high estimate: University of Minnesota National Lung Cancer Screening Estimates (Haynes 2026), which also counts former smokers.
  • Screening rate: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025.
  • Lung cancer cases and deaths: NCI and CDC State Cancer Profiles (incidence 2019 to 2023, deaths 2020 to 2024).
  • Screening volume: CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners, 2024; CMS Medicare Advantage State/County Penetration, September 2026.

LungAI is an investigational medical device and has not been cleared by FDA. Oatmeal Health is preparing a 510(k) premarket notification. LungAI is not commercially available in the United States.

See University of Tennessee Medical Center's own numbers

In a 30 minute review we replace these public estimates with counts from your own records and agree on what a first program would look like.