Missing Millions · 2026 estimate
Utah is missing 60,600 lung cancer screenings.
About 1 in 14 adults ages 50 to 80 in Utah qualifies for lung cancer screening and hasn't been screened. Find your county below.
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2025; CDC PLACES 2025; USPSTF 2021; American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025; CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271). Modeled estimates; see methodology below.
The gap, county by county
Shade shows how many adults ages 50 to 80 are missing screening. Select a county.
Salt Lake County
22,000
missing lung cancer screenings (estimate)
- Qualify for screening25,300
- Adults 50 to 80 missing screening1 in 14
- Medicare low-dose CT scans, 2024138
Every Utah county, ranked
Ranked by estimated missing screenings. Select a column to sort.
| 1Salt Lake County | 22,000 | 1 in 14 |
| 2Utah County | 7,600 | 1 in 18 |
| 3Davis County | 5,800 | 1 in 16 |
| 4Weber County | 5,700 | 1 in 13 |
| 5Washington County | 4,600 | 1 in 15 |
| 6Cache County | 2,100 | 1 in 14 |
| 7Tooele County | 1,600 | 1 in 12 |
| 8Iron County | 1,500 | 1 in 12 |
| 9Box Elder County | 1,400 | 1 in 12 |
| 10Uintah County | 1,000 | 1 in 9 |
| 11Summit County | 900 | 1 in 18 |
| 12Sanpete County | 820 | 1 in 10 |
| 13Wasatch County | 750 | 1 in 16 |
| 14Carbon County | 680 | 1 in 10 |
| 15Sevier County | 610 | 1 in 11 |
| 16San Juan County | 600 | 1 in 7 |
| 17Duchesne County | 580 | 1 in 10 |
| 18Millard County | 380 | 1 in 11 |
| 19Emery County | 310 | 1 in 11 |
| 20Grand County | 290 | 1 in 11 |
| 21Juab County | 280 | 1 in 11 |
| 22Kane County | 270 | 1 in 13 |
| 23Morgan County | 240 | 1 in 15 |
| 24Beaver County | 170 | 1 in 13 |
| 25Garfield County | 160 | 1 in 13 |
| 26Wayne County | 90 | 1 in 11 |
| 27Rich County | 80 | 1 in 12 |
| 28Piute County | 70 | 1 in 9 |
| 29Daggett County | fewer than 50 | 1 in 11 |
Lung cancer in Utah
Each year, on average. Screening finds lung cancer early, when it is most treatable.
Diagnosed
727 a year
New lung and bronchus cancers, 2019 to 2023 average.
Found late
64% at a late stage
About 468 a year are found after the cancer has spread, when it is hardest to treat.
Deaths
432 a year
Lung cancer deaths, 2020 to 2024 average.
Source: National Cancer Institute and CDC, State Cancer Profiles. Counts under 16 a year are suppressed by NCI and not shown.
Health systems in Utah
8 health systems serve Utah counties. Each has a page with its service area, lung cancer data and screening today.
Methodology
How we estimate the gap
A modeled estimate from public data only. It is not a count of patients and contains no patient information.
missing = adults 50 to 80 × county smoking rate × national eligibility factor × (1 − state screening rate)
- Adults 50 to 80: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2025
- Smoking: CDC PLACES 2025 release (Kentucky and Pennsylvania: 2024 release)
- Eligibility: USPSTF 2021 criteria, scaled to about 14.5 million eligible adults nationally
- Screening rates: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025
- Who is missing: Census population estimates (age) and American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 (language)
- Screening activity: CMS Medicare fee-for-service claims for low-dose CT (CPT 71271), 2024, by provider location
- Lung cancer cases and deaths: National Cancer Institute and CDC, State Cancer Profiles (incidence 2019 to 2023, deaths 2020 to 2024)
- Smoking history: University of Minnesota National Lung Cancer Screening Estimates (Haynes 2026)
Estimates under 50 are shown as "fewer than 50"; others are rounded. Full methodology
Many of them are already your patients.
Oatmeal Health helps health systems and community health centers find, navigate, and screen the people who qualify, alongside the care teams you already have.
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A printable PDF with the local estimate, how it compares, who is missing, the local screening network, and our full methodology.
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