Missing Millions · 2026 estimate

Atascosa County, Texas is missing 2,000 lung cancer screenings.

About 1 in 8 adults ages 50 to 80 here qualifies for lung cancer screening and hasn't been screened. Low-dose CT finds lung cancer early, when it is most treatable.

2,200adults qualify for screening under USPSTF 2021 criteria (estimate)
12.0%of eligible adults in Texas were screened, vs 18.2% nationally
74 of 254Texas counties, ranked by number of missing screenings

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2025; CDC PLACES 2025; USPSTF 2021; American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025. Modeled estimates; see methodology below.

How Atascosa County compares

Adults ages 50 to 80 who qualify for screening and haven't been screened.

Atascosa County1 in 8
Texas1 in 9
United States1 in 9

Modeled estimates; national figures from American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025.

Closing the gap

Raising screening here to the national rate of 18.2% would mean about 140 more people screened each year.

Illustrative estimate based on the county's estimated eligible population.

Who is missing

Age

56% are ages 50 to 64

Of adults ages 50 to 80 here, 56% are 50 to 64 and 44% are 65 to 80. Younger adults are often still working and outside Medicare.

Language

13% limited English

13% of adults here speak English less than very well, most often Spanish.

Screening today

0 Medicare scans

No low-dose CT screening scans were billed to Medicare fee-for-service by providers based in Atascosa County in 2024, so residents likely travel elsewhere to be screened. See the local network in the Explorer

Sources: age, U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2025; language, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 (table B16004), adults 18 and older; screening, CMS Medicare Physician and Other Practitioners 2024 (CPT 71271), by billing provider location.

Other Texas counties

See all 254 Texas counties

Methodology

How we estimate the gap

A modeled estimate from public data only. It is not a count of patients and contains no patient information.

missing = adults 50 to 80 × county smoking rate × national eligibility factor × (1 − state screening rate)

  • Adults 50 to 80: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2025
  • Smoking: CDC PLACES 2025 release (Kentucky and Pennsylvania: 2024 release)
  • Eligibility: USPSTF 2021 criteria, scaled to about 14.5 million eligible adults nationally
  • Screening rates: American Lung Association, State of Lung Cancer 2025
  • Who is missing: Census population estimates (age) and American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 (language)
  • Screening activity: CMS Medicare fee-for-service claims for low-dose CT (CPT 71271), 2024, by provider location

Estimates under 50 are shown as "fewer than 50"; others are rounded. Full methodology

Many of them are already your patients.

Oatmeal Health helps health systems and community health centers find, navigate, and screen the people who qualify, alongside the care teams you already have.